- USD/CHF gains ground to about 0.9110 in the early European session on Monday.
- Employment encouraging data in the US for January support the US dollar.
- Uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in progress in the Middle East could boost shelter as chf.
The USD/CHF pair gains strength to around 0.9110 during the early European session on Monday. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain interest rates this year after January employment data in the US, supporting the dollar. The testimony of the president of the FED, Powell, will be the culminating point on Tuesday. Later, on Wednesday, the inflation data of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be at the Care Center.
The American dollar index (DXY), which measures the USD compared to six other units, currently trades about 108.20, winning 0.14% in the day. The US economy created 143,000 new jobs in January, below the estimates of economists of 170,000 jobs. However, the unemployment rate decreased to 4.0% in January from 4.1% in December.
In addition, analysts said that Trump administration tariff policies could be inflationary and put more pressure on the Fed to maintain high interest rates. The markets are valuing 36 basic points (PBS) of cuts this year, below the 42 pbs after a report of non -agricultural payroll encouraging on Friday. This, in turn, contributes to USD rise.
The Swiss Franco (CHF) could be seen in the coming months since it is unlikely that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) returns to negative interest rates, said Commerzbank analyst Michael Pfister, in a note. SNB could finish its rate cuts cycle with a 0.0% policy rate, compared to the current 0.5%. Meanwhile, global economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in progress in the Middle East could boost safe refuge flows, benefiting the CHF.
Franco Swiss faqs
The Swiss Franco (CHF) is the official currency of Switzerland. It is among the ten most negotiated coins worldwide, reaching volumes that far exceed the size of the Swiss economy. Its value is determined by the general feeling of the market, the country’s economic health or the measures taken by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), among other factors. Between 2011 and 2015, the Swiss Franco was linked to the euro (EUR). The link was eliminated abruptly, which resulted in an increase of more than 20% in the value of the Franco, which caused a turbulence in the markets. Although the link is no longer in force, the fate of the Swiss Franco tends to be highly correlated with that of the euro due to the high dependence of the Swiss economy of neighboring Eurozone.
The Swiss Franco (CHF) is considered a safe shelter asset, or a currency that investors tend to buy in times in markets. This is due to the perception of Switzerland in the world: a stable economy, a strong export sector, great reserves of the Central Bank or a long -standing political position towards neutrality in global conflicts make the country’s currency A good option for investors fleeing risks. It is likely that turbulent times strengthen the value of the CHF compared to other currencies that are considered more risky to invest.
The Swiss National Bank (BNS) meets four times a year (once each quarter, less than other important central banks) to decide on monetary policy. The bank aspires to an annual inflation rate of less than 2%. When inflation exceeds the objective or it is expected that it will be overcome in the predictable future, the bank will try to control the growth of prices raising its type of reference. The highest interest rates are usually positive for the Swiss Franco (CHF), since they lead to greater returns, which makes the country a more attractive place for investors. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken the CHF.
Macroeconomic data published in Switzerland are fundamental to evaluate the state of the economy and can affect the assessment of the Swiss Franco (CHF). The Swiss economy is stable in general terms, but any sudden change in economic growth, inflation, current account or foreign exchange reserves have the potential to trigger movements in the CHF. In general, high economic growth, low unemployment and a high level of trust are good for Chf. On the contrary, if the economic data suggests to a weakening of the impulse, the CHF is likely to depreciate.
As a small and open economy, Switzerland depends largely on the health of the neighboring economies of the Eurozone. The European Union as a whole is the main economic partner of Switzerland and a key political ally, so the stability of macroeconomic and monetary policy in the Eurozone is essential for Switzerland and, therefore, for the Swiss Franco (CHF). With such dependence, some models suggest that the correlation between the fate of the euro (EUR) and the Swiss Franco is greater than 90%, or almost perfect.
Source: Fx Street
I am Joshua Winder, a senior-level journalist and editor at World Stock Market. I specialize in covering news related to the stock market and economic trends. With more than 8 years of experience in this field, I have become an expert in financial reporting.
