USD/JPY consolidates around the 138.50 area, just below the yearly high before the FOMC Minutes

  • The USD/JPY pair is trading in a narrow trading band just below the yearly high reached on Tuesday.
  • A modest USD pullback from two-month highs and a softer risk tone cap gains for the pair.
  • The divergence between Fed and BOJ policies continues to act as a tailwind ahead of the FOMC Minutes.

The pair USD/JPY extends its sideways price consolidation move for the second day in a row and remains range bound early into the Wednesday session. The pair is currently sitting just below 138.50 and remains a safe distance from the previous day’s high.

The US Dollar (USD) pulls back after an early rally to a fresh two-month high amid a fresh dip in US Treasury yields. Aside from this, a generally tone Weaker around equity markets drives some safe haven flows into the Japanese yen (JPY) and acts as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair. Against a background of concern about the slowdown in the global economy, the lack of progress in talks on raising the US debt ceiling dampens investor appetite for riskier assets and benefits traditional safe-haven assets.

The dollar’s slide, meanwhile, appears dampened by increasingly firm expectations that the US central bank will keep interest rates higher for longer, bolstered by recent hawkish comments from a number of Fed officials. Federal (Fed). In fact, markets have been pricing in the possibility of another 25 basis point rise in June. This marks a large divergence from the more dovish stance taken by the Bank of Japan (BOJ), which continues to weaken the Yen and is seen as providing some support to the USD/JPY pair.

Traders also seem reluctant to make aggressive bets, preferring to wait on the sidelines before the FOMC meeting minutes are released later in the US session. The Minutes will be closely watched for clues on the Fed’s future rate hike path, which will play a key role in influencing USD price dynamics and providing further directional momentum to the USD/JPY pair. However, the aforementioned fundamental undercurrent favors the bulls and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.

technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Last price today 138.53
Today Change Daily -0.05
today’s daily variation -0.04
today’s daily opening 138.58
Trends
daily SMA20 136.03
daily SMA50 134.06
daily SMA100 133.29
daily SMA200 137.17
levels
previous daily high 138.91
previous daily low 138.24
Previous Weekly High 138.75
previous weekly low 135.65
Previous Monthly High 136.56
Previous monthly minimum 130.63
Fibonacci daily 38.2 138.5
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 138.66
Daily Pivot Point S1 138.25
Daily Pivot Point S2 137.91
Daily Pivot Point S3 137.58
Daily Pivot Point R1 138.91
Daily Pivot Point R2 139.25
Daily Pivot Point R3 139.58

Source: Fx Street

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