USD/JPY flirts with weekly lows around the 134.80 area

  • USD/JPY falls for the second day in a row and hits a new weekly low.
  • A softer risk tone benefits the safe haven JPY and puts some downward pressure.
  • A good rally in USD demand could provide support and limit losses.

The USD/JPY pair attracts new selling after an intraday rally to the 134.85 zone and turns lower on Thursday for the second day in a row. The pair continued to lose ground in the early stages of the North American session and falls to a week low, around the 133.75 area in the last hour.

Against a background of concern about the US debt ceiling, mixed Chinese inflation data released on Thursday fueled concerns about the second-quarter economic outlook and tempered investor appetite for riskier assets. This is evidenced by a further decline in equity markets, boosting demand for the safe-haven Japanese yen (JPY) and putting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

The global flight to safety, coupled with growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is nearing the end of its one-year rate hike cycle, is contributing to the ongoing decline in US Treasury yields. This translates into a further tightening of the US-Japan rate differential and also benefits the yen. That being said, a good intraday rally in US dollar (USD) demand could support the USD/JPY pair.

USD bulls, meanwhile, appear unaffected by the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and a larger-than-expected rise in Weekly Initial Jobless Claims. This, in turn, could discourage traders from making aggressive bearish bets on the USD/JPY pair. However, the pair remains a short distance from the lows around 133.00 touched last Friday.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Last price today 133.84
Today Daily Variation -0.48
today’s daily variation -0.36
today’s daily opening 134.32
Trends
daily SMA20 134.62
daily SMA50 133.8
daily SMA100 132.87
daily SMA200 137.02
levels
previous daily high 135.47
previous daily low 134.11
Previous Weekly High 137.78
previous weekly low 133.5
Previous Monthly High 136.56
Previous monthly minimum 130.63
Fibonacci daily 38.2 134.63
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 134.95
Daily Pivot Point S1 133.8
Daily Pivot Point S2 133.28
Daily Pivot Point S3 132.44
Daily Pivot Point R1 135.16
Daily Pivot Point R2 135.99
Daily Pivot Point R3 136.51

Source: Fx Street

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