USD/JPY Price Analysis: Falls from 24-year highs, returns below 137.00

  • The Japanese yen strengthened after verbal intervention by Japanese finance minister Suzuki.
  • On Tuesday, USD/JPY fell towards a daily low around 136.50 before settling near June 21 highs.
  • USD/JPY Price Analysis: The currency is still bullish, but a rising wedge has formed which points to a drop towards 129.50.

The USD/JPY retreats from 24-year highs around 137.75, falling more than 100 pips during the American session, due to falling US bond yields and talks between US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, and the Japanese Finance Minister, Suzuki, in which he informed him of the weakening of the yen and agreed to continue consulting on foreign exchange.

At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading at 136.73, down by more than half, after reaching a daily high around 137.53, to stumble to fresh daily lows below 136.50 before settling on around current price levels.

USD/JPY daily chart

The USD/JPY daily chart shows the pair trending up, albeit forming a rising wedge, which means that selling pressure could be around the corner to intervene in the pair and drag it lower. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is breaking out of overbought conditions and about to cross below the RSI 7-day SMA, which would open the door for further declines.

If the USD/JPY breaks below the rising wedge, its first support would be the 20-day EMA at 135.56. Once broken through, the next demand zone to test would be the 1 Jul low at 134.74, followed by the 50 day EMA at 132.23, on its way to the measured target using the upper and lower trend lines that form the rising wedge around 129.50.

Key USD/JPY Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Panorama
Last Price Today 136.78
Today’s Daily Change -0.65
Today’s Daily Change % -0.47
Today’s Daily Opening 137.43
Trends
20 Daily SMA 135.53
50 Daily SMA 132.14
100 Daily SMA 126.97
200 Daily SMA 120.61
levels
Previous Daily High 137.75
Previous Daily Minimum 135.99
Previous Maximum Weekly 136.56
Previous Weekly Minimum 134.78
Monthly Prior Maximum 137
Previous Monthly Minimum 128.65
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 137.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 136.66
Daily Pivot Point S1 136.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 135.29
Daily Pivot Point S3 134.59
Daily Pivot Point R1 138.13
Daily Pivot Point R2 138.83
Daily Pivot Point R3 139.9

Source: Fx Street

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