USD/JPY Price Analysis: Fluctuates ahead of 145.00 as another FX market intervention looms

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  • USD/JPY is hovering around Tuesday’s open, above 144.70.
  • The major pair is still bullish, but it is getting closer to the 20-day EMA, which, once breached, could pave the way for the downside.
  • In the short term, USD/JPY is biased to the downside as a double top has emerged on the 1 hour chart.

The USD/JPY fluctuates around week’s high at 144.78, amid a boost in risk appetite, as evidenced by US stocks holding decent gains after the sell-off of the past two trading sessions, courtesy of upbeat sentiment . At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading at 144.80, almost unchanged.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

USD/JPY is in a borderline range of 142.00-145.00 after last week’s intervention. Even though the majors still have a bullish bias, and the 20 day EMA is closing in on price action, meaning a break below the latter would put downward pressure on the pair in the short term .

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In the short term, the USD/JPY one hour chart shows the emergence of a double top chart pattern around the 144.60-75 area, which could pave the way for further losses. However, the 20 EMA and the 50 EMA, which meanders around 144.51 and 144.16, respectively, would be difficult to beat. But once broken, a drop to the daily S1 pivot around 143.70 is anticipated.

On the other hand, the first resistance for USD/JPY would be the 145.00 figure, the line in the sand imposed by the Bank of Japan intervention last week. Breaking above will expose the year’s high at 145.90, ahead of the 146.00 figure.

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Key USD/JPY Technical Levels


last price today 144.80
daily change today 0.02
Today’s daily variation in % 0.01
Daily opening today 144.76
daily SMA20 142.51
daily SMA50 138.27
daily SMA100 135.6
daily SMA200 127.36
Previous daily high 144.79
Previous Daily Low 143.25
Previous Weekly High 145.9
Previous Weekly Low 140.35
Previous Monthly High 139.08
Previous Monthly Low 130.4
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2% 144.2
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 143.84
Daily Pivot Point S1 143.74
Daily Pivot Point S2 142.73
Daily Pivot Point S3 142.21
Daily Pivot Point R1 145.28
Daily Pivot Point R2 145.8
Daily Pivot Point R3 146.82

Source: Fx Street

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