USD/JPY rebounds from weekly low, holds below 130.00 ahead of US Q4 GDP.

  • USD/JPY reverses an intraday slide to a new weekly low, though it lacks continuation.
  • A slightly positive tone weakens the safe-haven JPY and lends support to the pair.
  • Expectations of lower Fed rate hikes keep dollar bulls on the defensive and cap gains for the pair.
  • Investors may also prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the fourth quarter US GDP release.

The pair USD/JPY finds some support near the 129.00 level and recovers around 70-80 pips from the weekly low hit earlier this Thursday. The pair has rallied to a fresh daily high during the early part of the European session, although it seems to be has difficulty taking advantage of the move and remains below the psychological level of 130.00.

A combination of factors weakens the Japanese yen (JPY), which in turn offers some support to the USD/JPY pair. The Bank of Japan (BoJ), in its summary of opinions published this Thursday, has stated that wants to maintain the current monetary policy setting, including Yield Curve Control (Y.C.C.). This, along with a slightly positive tone around equity markets, is keeping some money flows away from the safe-haven JPY.

Meanwhile, the new Speculation that high inflation may prompt the Bank of Japan to take a more aggressive stance at the end of the year they help limit the yen’s losses. The dollar, for its part, weakens near eight-month lows against the prospects for a less aggressive tightening of monetary policy by the Fed and the increase in expectations for a rate hike of 25 basis points in February. This, in turn, acts as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair and limits the pair’s upside.

Traders are also looking reluctant, preferring to wait on the sidelines before the US Advanced Q4 GDP is released later in the American session. Also on Thursday’s agenda will be durable goods orders and new home sales, which could influence dollar price dynamics.

USD/JPY technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Last price today 129.81
Today Change Daily 0.21
today’s daily variation 0.16
today’s daily opening 129.6
Trends
daily SMA20 130.59
daily SMA50 134.24
daily SMA100 139.73
daily SMA200 136.75
levels
previous daily high 130.58
previous daily low 129.27
Previous Weekly High 131.58
previous weekly low 127.22
Previous Monthly High 138.18
Previous monthly minimum 130.57
Fibonacci daily 38.2 129.77
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 130.08
Daily Pivot Point S1 129.05
Daily Pivot Point S2 128.5
Daily Pivot Point S3 127.73
Daily Pivot Point R1 130.37
Daily Pivot Point R2 131.13
Daily Pivot Point R3 131.68

Source: Fx Street

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