USD/JPY Regains Lost Ground Amid Risk Appetite, But Lacks Bullish Conviction

  • USD/JPY recovered much of its intraday losses, although it lacked follow-through.
  • Risk appetite undermined the safe haven JPY and extended some support to the pair.
  • The dollar’s price action, which was very weak, failed to provide momentum and held onto the gains.

On Thursday, the pair USD/JPY attracted some buying around 126.50 and regained some lost ground. The intraday rally pushed the price back above the 127.00 level during the early North American session, although it did not continue.

The risk appetite boost, represented by a generally positive tone around equity markets, undermined the safe haven Japanese Yen and was seen as a key factor in extending some support to the USD/JPY pair. However, concerns over weakening global economic growth dampened the upbeat move, which, coupled with weak demand for US dollars, acted as a headwind for the pair.

Speculation that the Federal Reserve might pause the interest rate hike cycle later this year pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to a new six-week low. This, in turn, did not help the dollar to take advantage of the overnight rebound from the monthly low. Even the mixed macroeconomic data out of the US also failed to impress dollar bulls or provide any lift to the USD/JPY pair.

The preliminary US GDP report showed that the world’s largest economy contracted at an annualized rate of 1.5% during the first quarter of 2022, against the advance estimate of a 1.4% drop. The slight disappointment in retrospective data was somewhat offset by better-than-expected weekly jobless claims, which fell to 210,000 last week from 218,000 previously.

The pair, so far, have managed to hold above the monthly low. This, in turn, makes it prudent to wait for some follow-up selling before positioning yourself for further losses.

Technical levels

USD/JPY

Panorama
Last Price Today 127.06
Today’s Daily Change -0.26
Today’s Daily Change % -0.20
Today’s Daily Opening 127.32
Trends
20 Daily SMA 129.18
50 Daily SMA 126.23
100 Daily SMA 120.76
200 Daily SMA 116.71
levels
Previous Daily High 127.5
Previous Daily Minimum 126.65
Previous Maximum Weekly 129.78
Previous Weekly Minimum 127.02
Monthly Prior Maximum 131.26
Previous Monthly Minimum 121.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 127.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 126.98
Daily Pivot Point S1 126.81
Daily Pivot Point S2 126.31
Daily Pivot Point S3 125.97
Daily Pivot Point R1 127.66
Daily Pivot Point R2 128
Daily Pivot Point R3 128.5

Source: Fx Street

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