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USD/MXN climbs back above 19.00 after a brief pullback

  • The Mexican peso remains under pressure against the US dollar
  • USD/MXN tests levels above 19.00, 2.5% above Wednesday’s low.

The USD/MXN It is trading slightly above 19.00, looking for the weekly high it hit on Thursday at 19.05. The pair resumed the bullish path after a brief retracement to 18.89. On Wednesday, it traded at 18.56, the lowest level since February 2020.

The Mexican peso has not been able to benefit from the rebound in commodity prices. At the same time, the US dollar remains firm supported by economic data and rising US yields.

New data, the old debate and a new member for Banxico

Economic data released in the US on Thursday beat expectations (initial jobless claims and Philadelphia Fed) and supported market sentiment. Still, Wall Street indices are trading lower. Emerging market currencies remain under pressure, extending correction from multi-day highs. The rebound in commodity prices on Thursday is being offset by rising US yields.

The US reached the debt limit and the Treasury began applying special measures to avoid a default. The debate on the increase in the debt ceiling in Congress is complex, since the Republicans have the House of Representatives and the Democrats the Senate.

In Mexico, Congress voted to confirm Omar Mejía, the government’s proposed candidate for Banco de México for an eight-year term. Relatively unknown to market participants prior to his appointment, Mejía’s first vote on the board will be at the next meeting on February 9. He supported the current interest rate hike cycle and promised transparency and independence.

USD/MXN Technical Outlook

USD/MXN is staging a solid rebound. Technical indicators turn higher on the daily chart. The price is still below the 20-day Simple Moving Average to watch at 19.17. If the pair manages to break and hold above 19.00/05. The next strong barrier is at 19.30.

A pullback to 18.80 would be considered a normal correction to the recent rally. If it falls below, the Mexican peso would regain some strength.

USD/MXN daily chart

USDMXN

USD/MXN

Overview
Last price today 18,977
Today I change daily 0.0836
today’s daily variation 0.44
today’s daily opening 18.8934
Trends
daily SMA20 19.2002
daily SMA50 19.3902
daily SMA100 19.6763
daily SMA200 19.9209
levels
previous daily high 18.8994
previous daily low 18.5663
Previous Weekly High 19.1951
previous weekly low 18.7331
Previous Monthly High 19.9181
Previous monthly minimum 19.1084
Fibonacci daily 38.2 18.7722
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 18.6935
Daily Pivot Point S1 18.6733
Daily Pivot Point S2 18.4532
Daily Pivot Point S3 18.3402
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.0065
Daily Pivot Point R2 19.1195
Daily Pivot Point R3 19.3396

Source: Fx Street

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