USD/MXN: Defense of 17.00 may stimulate rebound – SocGen

The recovery of the Peso stalled at 17.00. The economists of Societe Generale analyze the outlook for USD/MXN.

Risk of a deeper downtrend only if it declines from the July low at 16.60

So far, USD/MXN has carved a higher low near 17.00 compared to July’s low near 16.60. It has gradually established itself above the 50-DMA, denoting receding bearish momentum. This is also evident in the daily MACD, which has crossed above the balance line.

The defense of 17.00 could lead to a short-term bounce towards 17.42 and the recent pivot high at 17.64/17.70, which is also a multi-month downtrend line. This is crucial resistance.

Only if the July low at 16.60 is violated would there be a risk of a deeper downtrend.

Source: Fx Street

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