USD/MXN finds support near 16.80, following in the footsteps of the USD index

  • USD/MXN has found a temporary cushion near 16.82 after mimicking the path of the USD Index.
  • US stocks are bullish, but uncertainty could arise as companies start to report second quarter results.
  • The Dollar Index remains under pressure as inflationary pressures have eased more than expected.

USD/MXN halted its decline near 16.82 early in the American session on Thursday, and has tried to rally today but has hit a barrier near 16.90. The bearish bias in the asset has not faded yet and for a sustained bullish reversal, the pair has to go through several filters. The pair has followed the tracks of the Dollar Index (DXY), which has also made a recovery attempt that has stopped at 99.95.

S&P 500 futures are higher on Friday, reflecting calm market sentiment at the moment. The general mood in the markets is quite upbeat, as investors expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to skip consecutive rate hike regimes.

US stocks are in the hands of the bulls, but uncertainty could arise as companies start to report second quarter results, starting with the big banks. Earnings and forecasts could be subdued due to aggressive Fed tightening and tight credit conditions from commercial and regional banks.

The Dollar Index remains under pressure as inflationary pressures have eased more than expected and support fresh expectations of just one more interest rate hike this year. The DXY has fallen in the Asian session on Friday to 99.57, its lowest level since April 2022.

Regarding the Mexican Peso, INEGI reported that monthly industrial production (May) registered an expansion of 1.0% compared to expectations of stagnation. In annualized terms, economic data expanded 3.9% against consensus of 1.9% and previous release of 0.7%.

USD/MXN Technical Levels

USD/MXN

Panorama
Last Price Today 16,893
Today’s Daily Change 0.0508
Today’s Daily Change % 0.30
Today’s Daily Open 16.8422
Trends
20 Daily SMA 17.1012
SMA of 50 Daily 17.3945
SMA of 100 Daily 17.8178
SMA of 200 Daily 18.5794
levels
Previous Daily High 16.9626
Minimum Previous Daily 16.8252
Previous Weekly High 17.3957
Previous Weekly Minimum 16.9803
Maximum Prior Monthly 17.7286
Minimum Prior Monthly 17.0243
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 16.9063
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 16.9667
Daily Pivot Point S1 16.7855
Daily Pivot Point S2 16,669
Daily Pivot Point S3 16.5295
Daily Pivot Point R1 17.0415
Daily Pivot Point R2 17,181
Daily Pivot Point R3 17.2975

Source: Fx Street

You may also like