USD/MXN loses momentum below the 16.80 zone ahead of Mexico GDP and US BC consumer confidence.

  • USD/MXN loses momentum near 16.77 amid weaker Dollar.
  • Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell said additional rate hikes cannot be ruled out if necessary.
  • Banxico authorities cited the possibility of further rate hikes to alleviate inflationary pressures.
  • Markets will be watching Mexico’s GDP and US BC consumer confidence.

USD/MXN extends its downtrend during the early hours of the European session on Tuesday. The pair is currently trading around 16.77, losing 0.12% on the day. Meanwhile, the DXY Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the dollar against six other major currencies, is losing traction for the second day in a row. Market participants are waiting for the most important economic data from the US and Mexico’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter to gain momentum.

Regarding the Jackson Hole Symposium, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell stated that a further rate hike cannot be ruled out should it be required, this would be determined by incoming data. According to World Interest Rates Probabilities (WIRP), the market is pricing in modest odds for a September hike, but the probability of a 25 basis point (bp) hike in November has risen to nearly 70%. In terms of data, the Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index for August rose to -17.2 from -20 prior, better than the -21.6 estimate.

On the other hand, Banxico’s policy makers cited the possibility of additional rate hikes to ease inflationary pressures. This, in turn, boosts the Mexican Peso (MXN) against the US Dollar and acts as a headwind for USD/MXN. On the other hand, Mexico, the second largest economy in Latin America, will publish GDP data on Tuesday. The annual growth figure is expected to remain unchanged at 3.7%, while the monthly figure will grow by 0.9%.

Market participants will also be closely watching the US CB Consumer Confidence Index for August and JOLTs job vacancy data for July to be released later in the day. On Friday, the focus will be on the US Non-Farm Payrolls.

USD/MXN technical levels

Overview
Last price today 16.7693
daily change today -0.0205
today’s daily variation -0.12
today’s daily opening 16.7898
Trends
daily SMA20 17.0148
daily SMA50 16.9925
daily SMA100 17,351
daily SMA200 18.1138
levels
previous daily high 16,796
previous daily low 16.6945
Previous Weekly High 17.08
previous weekly low 16.7366
Previous Monthly High 17.3957
Previous monthly minimum 16.6258
Fibonacci daily 38.2 16.7572
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 16.7333
Daily Pivot Point S1 16.7242
Daily Pivot Point S2 16.6586
Daily Pivot Point S3 16.6227
Daily Pivot Point R1 16.8257
Daily Pivot Point R2 16.8616
Daily Pivot Point R3 16.9272

Source: Fx Street

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