USD/MXN Price Analysis: Looks well on its way to a fresh monthly low near 17.42

  • USD/MXN remains under pressure at two-week lows after breaking a two-day uptrend.
  • The clear break below the short-term support line and the bearish signals from the MACD favor buyers of the Mexican Peso.
  • The 50-day SMA and the descending resistance line from late April add to the upside filters.
  • Oscillators keep sellers hopeful, but the downside looks limited.

USD/MXN is trading at intraday lows near 17.52, as the previous day’s bearish movement continues. In doing so, the pair extends the mid-week turnaround from the 50 SMA on the 4-hour chart, as well as the breakout of a two-week-old uptrend line.

Not only a U-turn from the key short-term moving average and the break of the support line, but the bearish signals from the MACD also favor USD/MXN sellers. However, the RSI (14) remains below 50 and therefore suggests limited room to the downside.

Consequently, the multi-month low marked in May around 17.42 gains the attention of USD/MXN sellers.

Should the USD/MXN remain bearish beyond 17.42, it will witness a bumpy road towards the psychological magnet of 17.00. That being said, the 2016 year low at 17.05 may act as intermediate support.

On the other hand, recovery moves need to break past immediate support-turned-resistance around 17.58 to attract USD/MXN buyers.

Still, the 50 SMA around 17.73 may challenge buyers of the pair before giving them control.

It is worth noting that a convergence of the late April bearish resistance line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the April-May dip around 17.90, quickly followed by the round 18.00 level, acts as the last defense of the bears

USD/MXN 4-hour chart

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Trend: Limited falls expected

USD/MXN additional technical levels

USD/MXN

Panorama
Last Price Today 17.5221
Today’s Daily Change -0.0311
Today’s Daily Change % -0.18
Today’s Daily Open 17.5532
Trends
20 Daily SMA 17,687
SMA of 50 Daily 17.9287
SMA of 100 Daily 18.2672
SMA of 200 Daily 18.9978
levels
Previous Daily High 17.7286
Minimum Previous Daily 17.5409
Previous Weekly High 17.9981
Previous Weekly Minimum 17.6165
Maximum Prior Monthly 18,078
Minimum Prior Monthly 17.4203
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 17.6126
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 17.6569
Daily Pivot Point S1 17.4866
Daily Pivot Point S2 17.4199
Daily Pivot Point S3 17.2989
Daily Pivot Point R1 17.6742
Daily Pivot Point R2 17.7952
Daily Pivot Point R3 17.8619

Source: Fx Street

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