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USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican Peso Bulls Eye New All-Time Highs Since May 2016 Awaiting Mexico Inflation

  • USD/MXN remains under pressure for the fourth day in a row at multi-day lows.
  • Bearish MACD signals favor a clear break below the three-week horizontal support to keep sellers hopeful.
  • The three-month descending support line may bolster Mexican Peso buyers amid adverse RSI conditions.

USD/MXN tests the intraday low around 17.33 during the early hours of the European session on Thursday. In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair fades late Wednesday’s corrective rebound from the lowest levels since May 2016 (17.30), while posting a four-day losing streak.

Banco de México is about to release inflation data for May, which in turn may stimulate USD/MXN bears coinciding with bearish forecasts, as annual CPI is expected to fall to 5.9% from 6.25% April.

That being said, sellers of the pair are taking hints of Tuesday’s break below 3-week horizontal support, now resistance around 17.42. USD/MXN sellers are also motivated by bearish signals from the MACD.

However, a downward sloping support line from early March, near 17.25 at press time, challenges the pair’s bears amid the oversold line of the RSI (14).

Therefore, Mexican Peso buyers can hold the reins, but their dominance appears limited in scope, down to 17.25.

Should the pair break the support at 17.25, the May-March 2016 lows near 17.10/05 and the psychological magnet at 17.00 will attract USD/MXN bears.

Meanwhile, recovery moves need to cross the previous support line that ran from mid-May, near 17.42, to convince intraday buyers.

Still, a convergence of the 10 DMA and a 15-day downtrend line near 17.52 looks like a tough nut to crack for Mexican Peso sellers to regain control.

USD/MXN: Daily chart

Trend: Limited dips expected

USD/MXN Levels


Last Price Today 17.3429
Today’s Daily Change -0.0191
Today’s Daily Change % -0.11
Today’s Daily Open 17,362
20 Daily SMA 17.6318
SMA of 50 Daily 17.8616
SMA of 100 Daily 18.2137
SMA of 200 Daily 18,945
Previous Daily High 17.3967
Minimum Previous Daily 17.3055
Previous Weekly High 17.7716
Previous Weekly Minimum 17.4195
Maximum Prior Monthly 18,078
Minimum Prior Monthly 17.4203
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 17.3403
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 17.3619
Daily Pivot Point S1 17.3127
Daily Pivot Point S2 17.2635
Daily Pivot Point S3 17.2215
Daily Pivot Point R1 17.4039
Daily Pivot Point R2 17.4459
Daily Pivot Point R3 17.4951

Source: Fx Street

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