USD/MXN Price Analysis: Rebounds Slightly from Multi-Month Lows Near 17.25

  • USD/MXN stops the rebound from the lowest level since May 2016.
  • The support line from a fortnight ago and the oversold RSI challenge buyers of the Mexican Peso.
  • The 50 SMA caps the USD/MXN rally in the short term ahead of the key hurdle of the 200 SMA.
  • Multiple support lines and the 2016 low remain strong to challenge sellers of the pair.

The USD/MXN consolidates the biggest daily loss in almost two weeks, at the lowest levels since May 2016, during the European session on Monday. In doing so, the USD/MXN follows cautious market sentiment, as well as positioning for US inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy decision.

Technically, the USD/MXN pair is struggling to defend the previous day’s rebound from a bearish support line on May 29 amid an oversold RSI.

Not only the oversold conditions of the RSI and the near-term support line, around 17.23, but also a three-month-old downtrend line, near 17.21, are also challenging USD/MXN bears.

It is worth noting that a descending support line from early April near 17.06 precedes a 2016 low around 17.05 and a round level of 17.00 to challenge further declines in the pair.

Conversely, the 50 SMA on the 4-hour chart around 17.47 capped the USD/MXN pair’s immediate rally ahead of the 200 SMA hurdle at 17.69.

Should USD/MXN bulls manage to maintain control above that last level, as well as break above the 17.70 level, the corrective bounce could target the late May high around 17.99.

USD/MXN 4-hour chart

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Trend: Limited falls expected

USD/MXN additional technical levels

Overview
Last price today 17.2908
daily change today 0.0101
today’s daily variation 0.06%
today’s daily opening 17.2807
Trends
daily SMA20 17.6062
daily SMA50 17.8325
daily SMA100 18.1817
daily SMA200 18.9176
levels
previous daily high 17.3893
previous daily low 17.2591
Previous Weekly High 17.5981
previous weekly low 17.2591
Previous Monthly High 18,078
Previous monthly minimum 17.4203
Fibonacci daily 38.2 17.3088
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 17.3396
Daily Pivot Point S1 17.2301
Daily Pivot Point S2 17.1795
Daily Pivot Point S3 17.0999
Daily Pivot Point R1 17.3603
Daily Pivot Point R2 17.4399
Daily Pivot Point R3 17.4905

Source: Fx Street

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