USD/NOK retreats from multi-month highs and bulls take a breather

  • USD/NOK hit its highest since late May at 11,276 on Thursday. On Friday, the pair retreated to 11.170, with losses of 0.20%.
  • On Friday, the pair retreated to 11.170, with losses of 0.20%.
  • The Dollar is trading lower in the currency markets after the PCE data for September.

In Friday’s session, the USD/NOK is trading at a loss, driven mainly by investor profit-taking after the pair hit its highest level since May 31 on Thursday. The US dollar is trading lower after it was reported that underlying personal consumption spending in September had slowed as expected.

In line, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the underlying personal consumption price index for September was in line with consensus. It stood at 3.7% year-on-year, compared to the expected 3.7%, but fell from its last reading of 3.8%. In reaction, the 2-year yield stands at 5.03%, while the 5-year and 10-year yields are seen at 4.79% and 4.85%, respectively, with little movement.

It is worth noting that rising US Treasury yields fueled the Norwegian krone’s recent weakness, and as rates retreat from multi-year highs, it limits the pair’s bullish momentum. Additionally, hawkish bets on the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain dovish, which could also curb the pair’s gains. That said, the Fed meets next week, and investors will look for clues in Chairman Powell’s monetary policy statement and press conference to continue betting on upcoming decisions. A pause for next week is all but in the cards, but some market participants are still forecasting some odds of the Fed raising 25 basis points in December, but those expectations could rise or fall depending on the bank’s and Powell’s stance.

USD/NOK levels to watch

The daily chart shows a neutral to bullish technical outlook for USD/NOK as signs of exhausting buying momentum are observed. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a negative slope but is still in bullish territory, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) is showing neutral green bars. However, the pair is above the 20,100,200-day SMA, indicating favorable positioning for the bulls in the bigger picture.

Support Levels: 11,155, 11,083, 11,023 (20-day SMA),

Resistance levels: 11,200, 11,235, 11,276.

USD/NOK Daily Chart

USD/NOK

Overview
Latest price today 11.1823
Daily change today -0.0201
Today’s daily variation -0.18
Today’s daily opening 11.2024
Trends
daily SMA20 10.9693
daily SMA50 10.8104
SMA100 daily 10.6172
SMA200 daily 10.5641
Levels
Previous daily high 11,277
Previous daily low 11,182
Previous weekly high 11.1145
Previous weekly low 10.9048
Previous Monthly High 10.8758
Previous monthly low 10.5261
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 11.2407
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 11.2183
Daily Pivot Point S1 11,164
Daily Pivot Point S2 11.1255
Daily Pivot Point S3 11,069
Daily Pivot Point R1 11,259
Daily Pivot Point R2 11.3155
Daily Pivot Point R3 11.3539

Source: Fx Street

You may also like