USD / TRY defies all-time highs near 8.80 after CBRT

  • USD / TRY jumps near 8.8000.
  • The CBRT surprised everyone by cutting rates to 18%.

The Turkish lira depreciated to lows almost all time against the US dollar and pushes USD / TRY to the 8.8000 zone Thursday.

USD / TRY moves higher after pessimistic CBRT

The USD / TRY rose rapidly to new highs after the Turkish central bank (CBRT) raised the one-week repo rate by 100 basis points to 18% against (almost) all the odds in Thursday’s meeting.

CBRT’s decision caught markets off guard despite the fact that the central bank announced in recent weeks that it could start setting the monetary policy rate based on core inflation, which is lower than the headline figure.

Key USD / TRY levels

At the time of writing, the USD / TRY pair is gaining 1.43% on the day, trading at 8.7680. A drop below 8.6056 (September 21 low), would target 8.4920 (55-day SMA) and 8.2590 (September 6 low). On the other hand, the next resistance is at 8.7965 (September 23 high), followed by 8.7974 (2021 high).

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