USDJPY remains confined to a tight trading range around 140.00

  • USDJPY remains on the defensive on Friday and is pressured by a combination of factors.
  • Stronger domestic inflation numbers support the JPY and offer some support for the pair.
  • The low demand for dollars also acts as a headwind, although the fall continues to be cushioned.

The pair USDJPY comes under some selling pressure on Friday and reverses some of the previous day’s positive move nearing the weekly high. The pair remains on the defensive during the early hours of the European session and is currently trading around the key 140.00 psychological level, shedding 0.15% on the day.

The US dollar continues its struggle to post a meaningful recovery after the CPI plunged to a three-month low hit on Tuesday and acts as a headwind for the USDJPY. On the other hand, the Japanese yen is getting some support from Friday’s release of stronger domestic consumer inflation data, which showed that core CPI accelerated to a 40-year high in October. This puts additional downward pressure on the major currency, although it appears that a significant drop has not yet taken place, at least for now.

Recent comments from US central bank officials suggest more interest rate hikes are on the way. This, in turn, pushes US Treasury yields higher and should give the dollar some support. In contrast, the Bank of Japan says the central bank will maintain its monetary easing to support the economy and hit the 2% inflation target on a sustained and stable basis. This signals a large divergence in the monetary policy stance of the two major central banks, which could weigh on the yen.

Apart from this, the risk momentum – as evidenced by the upbeat mood around equity markets – could further undermine the JPY’s safe haven and offer USDJPY support. Even from a technical perspective, spot prices have been oscillating in a known trading range since the start of this week. This points to indecision about the near-term path of the major pairs. That being said, the repeated failures ahead of the breakout of the 100-day SMA support around 141.00 suggest that the downtrend may still be far from over.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Last price today 139.88
today’s daily change -0.31
Today Daily Variation % -0.22
today’s daily opening 140.19
Trends
daily SMA20 145.07
daily SMA50 145.13
daily SMA100 140.91
daily SMA200 133.22
levels
previous daily high 140.74
previous daily low 138.88
Previous Weekly High 147.57
previous weekly low 138.47
Previous Monthly High 151.94
Previous monthly minimum 143.53
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2% 140.03
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 139.59
Daily Pivot Point S1 139.13
Daily Pivot Point S2 138.07
Daily Pivot Point S3 137.26
Daily Pivot Point R1 141
Daily Pivot Point R2 141.8
Daily Pivot Point R3 142.86

Source: Fx Street

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