War in Ukraine caused disruption of international order, says professor

In an interview with CNN This Monday (21), the coordinator of the International Relations course at Faap Fernanda Magnotta evaluated that, even if it comes to an end soon, the war in Ukraine has already caused a “rupture in the international order that had been coming since 1945 after the Second World War”. World“.

“This is a war that could end at any moment, but whose consequences will last for a few decades. It is the definitive end of the post-Cold War period.” said the teacher.

Magnotta considers a short-term negotiated exit between Russia and Ukraine possible, including a possible ceasefire. However, due to the geopolitical dimension of the conflict, the consequences will still last for a long time.

According to the professor, while the conflict continues, “capabilities are being exhausted on all sides, the war is getting more and more costly and at some point a diplomatic negotiation will emerge, as has happened in several other conflicts throughout history. ”.

“The problem is that not necessarily an immediate ceasefire or short-term negotiation will represent the end of the conflict. The demands that are on the table are of a structural nature, they are not just about Ukraine”, he pointed out.

According to Magnotta, the war in Ukraine is about hegemonic transactions and historical power transitions that antagonize the United States and Russia. “As much as in the short term there is a joint ceasefire particularly made with Zelensky and Putin, it does not seem to me an easy issue to resolve,” she said.

The professor considered that the war in Ukraine is a clear demonstration of how “the world is undergoing a profound transformation”.

Magnotta stated that the conflict ushered in a new phase of globalization, “globalization bringing new challenges that had not been seen until now”. The professor also mentioned the coexistence of the pre-modern with the post-modern, a new distribution of power between countries and the need for international institutions.

In the face of the siege by Russian troops on the city of Mariupol, in eastern Ukraine, the professor reinforced that it is a “strategic city” because of its naval capacity and access to the sea.

Magnotta also said that the region gives consistency to Russian displacement from the Crimea to the Donbass and has a “very relevant geopolitical weight”.