When the growth of altcoins begins

On Monday, on the fifth of May, the dominance of bitcoin (BTC.D) increased to 64.98% – this is a new maximum from the beginning of 2025 and the highest level since 2021

Some analysts expect BTC dominance growth will launch the long -awaited altcoin rally. However, others are skeptical of this.

What is happening on the market

Cryptocurrency experts consider BTC.D the main indicator for predicting altcoin growth. The day before, the indicator reached 65% – a critical level for the start of the altsyzone. However, the opinions of analysts regarding whether he will begin.

Darky believes that the current mark can be a peak. In his opinion, in the near future BTC.D will collapse. If this happens, altcoins will begin to grow.

Important levels of resistance and support for Bitcoin domination. Source: Darky

“BTC dominance will fall soon. Buy altcoins, ”wrote an analyst in X (formerly Twitter).

Some note that at present on the BTC.D graphics, an ascending wedge is formed – a pattern, which often precedes a bear reversal. In the case of a breakthrough below 60%, capital will begin to flow into altcoins, which will launch a full altsyzone. However, according to the analyst under the pseudonym Milk Road, the dominance of bitcoin will first grow to 70%before decreasing.

Index of speculation on altcoins. Source: Milk Road

“Only 17% of altcoins surpassed bitcoin over the past 90 days. This is not a rotation. This is the dominance of BTC. So far this indicator does not exceed 70%, altsyzone will not come, ”the expert noted.

Only for today, the fifth of May, the BTC.D indicator has grown from 64.4% to 65%. At the same time, the total capitalization of the crypto rush decreased from $ 3 trillion to $ 2.87 trillion. This indicates that most of the capital leaves precisely from altcoins, and not from bitcoin.

When the altsyzon begins

Over the past three years, the BTC.D indicator grew steadily from 39% to 65%. During this period, many forecasts regarding the beginning of the altsyzon did not justify. This led to significant losses for investors who prefer altcoins.

Some analysts believe that the Bitcoin domination indicator has ceased to be the most important factor for the start of altsyzon. Apollo co -founder Thomas Fraer says that the active participation of institutional investors fundamentally changed the usual market cycles.

“BTC dominance has reached a new maximum. This cycle differs in that when BlackRock and Michael Saylor buy BTC, they simply hold it. They do not exchange him for altcoins, ”he wrote in X.

The co -founder of Coinbase added that for a real altsyzone you need more than just the fall of BTC.D. Previously, altcoins began to grow approximately 320 days after Bitcoin reached the bottom. May 2025 – just the same time. However, according to the expert, the following important conditions have not been fulfilled now:

  • The share of BTC should fall below 54%;
  • The federal reserve system (Fed) should complete the quantitative tightening (QT) and reduce the rate;
  • Bitcoin should gain a foothold on new maximums, and money should flow into altcoins.

According to CoinmarketCap, at the time of writing this material, the total capitalization of altcoins, with the exception of stablecoins (Total3), is $ 807 billion. This is 28% less than at the beginning of 2025.

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Source: Cryptocurrency

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