Who benefited from Binance’s deal with the US authorities?

Coinbase and Bybit saw the largest gains in CEX market share after US regulators settled claims against Binance. Such assessments are contained in the report Kaiko.

On November 21, in a deal with the department, the organization paid $4.3 billion, and Changpeng Zhao agreed to a fine of $50 million and resignation from the position of CEO.

Using Bitcoin as a benchmark, experts recognized Bybit as the “outright winner” of the Binance settlement of claims by US authorities. Digital gold trading volume on the site jumped by more than 20% in every 16 of the 24 hours following the events.

“Given Binance’s dominance is so great, its market share drop to 4% during certain hours led to a 50% gain for Bybit and up to a 34% gain for Coinbase,” the analysts explained.

Experts also drew attention to the additional impetus for the growth of the latter’s shares. In November, the capitalization of the largest US Bitcoin exchange grew by 75%, since the beginning of the year – by 250%.

Coinbase’s share rose the most outside trading hours in the US following the settlement, while OKX’s performance rose most notably early in the trading day in Western Europe.

As a summary, analysts noted that Binance lost some market share to Bybit and Coinbase (outside the US session).

According to experts, despite an outflow of more than $1 billion over the next 24 hours, the platform showed no signs of a sharp decline in liquidity. Market depth indicators began to recover after the events. Bybit is closing the gap, while Coinbase is still slightly behind in terms of spread competitiveness, they added.

Experts urged not to rush into making forecasts due to the absence of “dire” consequences for Binance.

“Despite the popular theory that the platform is losing ground, it is also possible to strengthen compliance monitoring and improve AML/KYC measures that will help maintain competitiveness. The turbulence of the last two years has shown that there is some attachment to liquidity and volume. Investors generally want to continue using exchanges they already trust,” the report said.

In their opinion, the “saga” is positive for everyone – the US government wins, Binance can continue to operate, and other platforms have opportunities for growth.

Source: Cryptocurrency

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