WTI rises but stalls at $79.00 amid weak dollar after US inflation data.

  • WTI was helped by the weaker dollar, although it struggled to break above key resistance.
  • The slowdown in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and expectations of a Fed turnaround may support WTI prices.
  • WTI Price Analysis: It is facing a wall of resistance around $79.00.

The Western Texas Intermediate (WTI)the benchmark US oil, advances on Thursday and extends its gains to two consecutive daysalthough limited by technical indicators following the release of crucial US inflation data. As of this writing, WTI is trading around $78.99 a barrel, gaining 1.52% on the day .

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December fell 0.1%According to the Department of Labor, suggesting that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could slow the pace of rate hikes, a headwind for the dollar. Therefore, oil prices rose as a weaker dollar would benefit crude buyers.

Another factor that propped up WTI is the reopening of China after authorities removed zero-covid policies.

Sources quoted by Reuters commented that a soft landing in the US and perhaps worldwide, combined with China’s economic rebound, could lead to a much better year than most analysts feared. So, oil demand could increase, and WTI prices would remain high unless production increases.

Oil traders are also bracing for a new curb on Russian oil supplies, pending the start of sanctions over its invasion of Ukraine. EU ban on importing oil products from Russia will start on February 5 and, according to the US office of the EIA, “could be more disruptive than the EU’s ban on importing crude oil from Russia.”

WTI Price Analysis: Technical Perspective

From the point of view of the daily chart, the WTI presents a neutral to bearish bias, although it has extended its gains to almost $4 in the last two days. The inability of WTI to break the confluence of a two-month downtrend line and the 50 day EMA around $79.00 could exacerbate a pullback, at least down to the 20-day EMA at $76.79. However, if WTI breaks above the former, a rally towards the lowers could ensue. $80.00. On the other hand, if it breaks below the $78.00could pave the way to the $76.00.

wti

WTI technical levels

WTI US OIL

Panorama
Last Price Today 78.99
Today’s Daily Change 1.18
Today’s Daily Change % 1.52
Today’s Daily Open 77.81
Trends
20 Daily SMA 77.15
SMA of 50 Daily 79.26
SMA of 100 Daily 82.58
SMA of 200 Daily 92.64
levels
Previous Daily High 78
Minimum Previous Daily 74.52
Previous Weekly High 81.56
Previous Weekly Minimum 72.64
Maximum Prior Monthly 83.3
Minimum Prior Monthly 70.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 76.67
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 75.85
Daily Pivot Point S1 75.55
Daily Pivot Point S2 73.29
Daily Pivot Point S3 72.07
Daily Pivot Point R1 79.03
Daily Pivot Point R2 80.26
Daily Pivot Point R3 82.51

Source: Fx Street

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