The number of elderly Brazilians grew between 2000 and 2023, while the country’s birth rate declined from 2.32 to 1.57 children per womanaccording to research released today (22) by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
The survey shows when each state will reach a turning point, that is, when the population will stop growing. In 2041, Brazil’s population will reach its peak, with 220.4 million inhabitants.
From this year onwards, the population is expected to decline and reach less than 200 million in 2070, reaching 199,228,708 inhabitants in 2070.
The average age of Brazilians will reach 48 years in 2070.
Check out the year in which each state will stop growing:
- Santa Catarina: 2064
- Roraima: 2064
- Goias: 2056
- Amazonas: 2054
- Mato Grosso do Sul: 2053
- Tocantins: 2049
- Para: 2048
- Holy Spirit: 2047
- Amapá: 2046
- Parana: 2045
- Paraiba: 2045
- Federal District: 2043
- Ceara: 2043
- Acre: 2043
- Sergipe: 2042
- Rondônia: 2041
- Rio Grande do Norte: 2039
- Pernambuco: 2039
- Minas Gerais: 2039
- Sao Paulo: 2037
- PiauÃ: 2037
- Bahia: 2035
- Maranhao: 2034
- Rio de Janeiro: 2028
- Rio Grande do Sul: 2027
- Alagoas: 2027
Rio Grande do Sul and Alagoas will be the first states to see a pause in population growth, starting in 2027. On the other hand, only Mato Grosso should not stop growing until 2070, with no defined projection (it is not on the list) . The average growth pause for the Brazilian population is 2042.
This is the first population projection survey to consider the period of the Covid-19 pandemic, which caused a drop in the life expectancy of the country’s population, from 76 years in 2019 to 73 years in 2021.
The projection indicates that in 2070 life expectancy will be 84 years, 82 for men and 86 years for women.
This content was originally published in Year by year: see when the population will begin to decline in Brazilian states on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
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