Markets expect CTAs to continue covering shorts in the markets. Platinum this session, but the balance of risks to CTA positioning has shifted noticeably to the downside, notes Daniel Ghali, senior commodity strategist at TDS.
The balance of risks for CTA positioning is shifting downwards
“Unless price strength continues, we expect CTAs to return to the bid with large-scale selling activity expected over the next week, even in a flat market. And, a large decline could trigger massive CTA selling activity totaling up to -50% of the algorithms’ maximum size.”
“While there are still some scenarios for next week that could result in continued buying activity by algorithmic trend followers, the scenario for flows already points to extreme downside asymmetry.”
Source: Fx Street
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