Bloomberg estimated the chances of launching a bitcoin ETF this year

After Grayscale’s victory in a case against the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Analysts Bloomberg James Seiffart and Eric Balciunas put a 75% chance of launching a spot Bitcoin ETF in 2023. Writes about it RBC Crypto.

On August 29, the court granted the claim of Grayscale, which is challenging the regulator’s refusal to approve its application to launch a bitcoin ETF. The company filed a lawsuit against the main US stock exchange regulator back in 2021.

“We are increasing the chances of launching spot bitcoin ETFs in 2023 to 75% (95% by the end of 2024). While we factored in Grayscale’s 65% win in our last forecast, the unanimity and clarity of the decision exceeded all expectations, leaving the SEC little room to maneuver,” Balciunas wrote.

The SEC will review applications for bitcoin ETFs from Bitwise on September 1, from BlackRock, VanEck, Fidelity, Invesco and Wisdomtree on September 2, Valkyrie will receive a decision from the regulator on September 4, according to the deadlines determined by the commission. At the same time, agency analysts predict delays.

“We would not be surprised if the SEC delays with a decision, given the situation. But I’m not sure if the timing will have the same meaning. Most likely, one day we will hear that the Commission has given up and the launch is inevitable,” Balciunas added.

In August, analysts at Bernstein said that Grayscale’s victory over the SEC was “clearing the way” for Bitcoin ETFs. The first applications for bitcoin-ETF can be approved next week, in general, the process will last until the beginning of 2024, experts say.

Source: Cryptocurrency

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