The European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDCwarns through its announcement of the risk of an increase in its cases coronavirus, as well as hospitalizations and deaths, in the autumn, in the countries of the European Union and the European Economic Area that have not yet achieved sufficiently high coverage vaccination for COVID-19 and who plan to relax non-pharmacological interventions over the next two weeks.
In particular, the ECDC states that these countries are at high risk of experiencing significant increases in cases, hospitalizations and mortality. from now until the end of November.
This is indicated by a new rapid risk assessment for SARS-CoV-2 virus published today, Thursday, by the Center.
This risk is due to the very high circulation of the virus and the fact that fully vaccinated individuals of vulnerable groups are still potentially at risk for severe disease.
So far, only 61% of the total population in the EU / EEA has been fully vaccinated in only three countries (Malta, Portugal, Iceland) have vaccinated more than 75% of their total population.
“Forecasts show that a combination of high vaccination coverage and effective contact reduction is vital to reduce the risk of COVID-19 overweight in healthcare systems this fall,” ECDC Director Andrea Ammon said in a statement. continuation of the above.
She added that “countries must constantly strive to increase vaccination coverage in all eligible age groups, regardless of current vaccination coverage levels, to reduce the severity of infections Delta variant. “Depending on the local epidemiological situation, non-pharmacological interventions (measures to control the virus) may still be needed by the end of November.”
Countries with the highest COVID-19 vaccination coverage in the general population are at lower risk of experiencing a high wave of outbreaks, morbidity and mortality between now and the end of November. except If there is a rapid decline in the effectiveness of the vaccine due to weakened immunity, the ECDC also notes.
The report also predicts higher SARS-CoV-2 incidence rates among children the next months.
What the ECDC recommends
Meters such as physical distance, which prevent overcrowding as well as hygiene and improved ventilation will remain necessary to prevent transmission to the school environment, he emphasizes.
The body also states that the vaccine against it seasonal flu, especially for vulnerable populations and healthcare workers, will be essential to mitigate the impact on individuals and healthcare systems in the months following the possible co-transmission of the two viruses.
Finally, the ECDC notes that it remains vital that COVID-19 surveillance systems are able to monitor and report Efficiently cases, hospitalizations and deaths in order to guide them decisions on public health measures and understand their impact.