- GBP/JPY experiences volatility, peaking at 208.11, then dropping to 203.82, stabilizing at 204.99.
- Bearish momentum is observed; support at 203.25 (Kijun-Sen) and 200.16 (50-DMA).
- Resistance positioned at 205.00 and 205.64 (Tenkan-Sen); a break could signal recovery.
The Pound-Yen pair witnessed a volatile session amid speculation over intervention by Japanese authorities following the announcement of the latest US inflation report. GBP/JPY rallied 425 pips on the session, hitting a high of 208.11 before plunging towards 203.82. The cross has since stabilized around 204.99, holding on to over 1.20% losses.
GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical Outlook
The GBP/JPY daily chart shows the pair with a bullish bias, although it breached the Tenkan-Sen level at 205.64, which accelerated the pair’s decline below the Senkou Span A at 204.45. Nevertheless, it has regained some ground, although in the short term, the momentum supports the sellers.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bullish but is showing a steeper slope to the downside at the time of writing, hinting that bears are lurking.
On a bearish continuation, sellers need to push prices below the aforementioned Senkou Span A, which could pave the way for testing the Kijun-Sen at 203.25. Further decline is anticipated at the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 200.16, before the Senkou Span B at 199.3.
Conversely, if GBP/JPY regains some ground and breaks above 205.00, further gains are expected. The pair could target the Tenkan-Sen at 205.64 before challenging the 206.00 level.
GBP/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart
The British Pound FAQs
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded currency unit in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions and an average of $630 billion a day, as of 2022.
Its key currency pairs are GBP/USD, also known as the “Cable,” which accounts for 11% of the forex market, GBP/JPY, or the “Dragon” as it is known to traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The British Pound is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).
The most important factor influencing the value of the British Pound is the monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The Bank of England bases its decisions on achieving its main objective of “price stability”, i.e. a stable inflation rate of around 2%. Its main tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates.
When inflation is too high, the Bank of England tries to contain it by raising interest rates, making credit more expensive for individuals and businesses. This is generally positive for the GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money.
When inflation is too low, it is a sign that economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to make credit cheaper, so that companies borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.
The data released gauges the health of the economy and can influence the value of the Pound. Indicators such as GDP, manufacturing and services PMIs, and employment can influence the direction of the Pound.
A strong economy is good for the British Pound. Not only does it attract more foreign investment, but it may encourage the Bank of England to raise interest rates, which will directly strengthen the British Pound. Conversely, if economic data is weak, the British Pound is likely to fall.
Another significant indicator for the pound is the trade balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports during a given period.
If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit exclusively from the additional demand created by foreign buyers who wish to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net trade balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.
Source: Fx Street
I am Joshua Winder, a senior-level journalist and editor at World Stock Market. I specialize in covering news related to the stock market and economic trends. With more than 8 years of experience in this field, I have become an expert in financial reporting.
