GBP/USD fails to surpass 1.2400 despite risk appetite in markets

  • The GBP/USD pair is trading flat but struggling on Friday, trying to hold above the 1.2400 area.
  • The British pound’s mid-week recovery remains under threat as markets trim gains.
  • Falling UK data is strengthening the Pound.

GBP/USD remains just above the 1.2400 area as the pair grapples with the upper end of the recent consolidation. The British Pound (GBP) is struggling to maintain gains against the US Dollar (USD) this week.

The Pound peaked at 2.25% against the dollar in mid-week, and has since retreated to a more reasonable 1.65%.

Despite a broad market risk bid fueled by markets once again speculating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has ended interest rate hikes, GBP/USD remains stuck in the mid-range as UK data misses the mark.

UK retail sales fall 0.3% month-on-month in October

UK retail sales fell month-on-month, with the October figure at -0.3%, a reversal of the market forecast for a 0.3% rise. However, investors focused on the losses of recent months as September’s figure was revised even further downwards, going from -0.9% to an exorbitant -1.1%.

Annualized UK retail sales were even worse, at -2.7% in October versus -1% previously, and accelerating above the -1.5% forecast.

Next week investors will pay attention to the release of Minutes from the latest Fed meeting on Tuesday.

GBP/USD Technical Outlook

The GBP/USD pair is in positive territory for the week, up 1.65%, as the British pound holds on to what remains of its mid-week gains.

A short-term uptrend line from last week’s lows near 1.2200 continues to keep intraday action higher as hourly candles battle the 50-hourly SMA, but a 200-hourly SMA that flattens is poised to continue attracting bids back to the mid-range.

Daily candlestick charts have GBP/USD tied to the 200-day SMA as the pair struggles to develop new long-term momentum, with this week’s high in the 1.2500 area representing the key figure to beat for the Bulls.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Latest price today 1.2428
Today I change daily 0.0019
Today’s daily variation 0.15
Today’s daily opening 1.2409
Trends
daily SMA20 1.2248
daily SMA50 1.2257
SMA100 daily 1.2511
SMA200 daily 1.2442
Levels
Previous daily high 1.2456
Previous daily low 1.2376
Previous weekly high 1.2429
Previous weekly low 1.2187
Previous Monthly High 1.2337
Previous monthly low 1.2037
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 1.2407
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2426
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2372
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2334
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2292
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2451
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2493
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2531

Source: Fx Street

You may also like