Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Recaptures Losses Amid Dovish Fed Rhetoric, Eyeing $1,980 Resistance

• Gold is up 1.12%, trading at $1,979.90, as US dollar strength subsides, with investors eyeing the $1,980 resistance level.
• Statements from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen rocked the market, sending XAU/USD rallying significantly.
• XAU/USD remains on track for a 1.90% weekly loss after strong US retail sales and industrial production, as well as falling jobless claims, hint at possible US action. the fed.

Gold price rose more than 1% on Friday, paring some of the losses suffered during the week, as hawkish rhetoric from the Fed bolstered the dollar, which posted gains of 0.37%, according to the Dollar Index ( DXY). At the time of writing, the XAU/USD pair is trading at $1,979.90, up 1.12% daily.

XAU/USD Soars More Than 1% After Treasury Secretary’s Statements Cause Risk Aversion Momentum and USD Fall

The XAU/USD pair bottomed around $1,954.14 after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell delivered a few words at a conference on Friday. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell noted that inflation is currently above the target level and underscores the Fed’s unwavering commitment to guiding inflation back toward the 2% target, saying “failure would do more damage.” In addition, Powell pointed to the strength of the banking system and suggested that tightening bank credit conditions could prevent a possible rate hike.

At the same time, a headline said CNN had reported that US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen had told bank CEOs on Thursday that more mergers might be necessary after a series of of bank failures spurred a boost in risk appetite; hence XAU/USD soared strongly.

Discussions about the US debt ceiling came to a halt when the leader of the US House of Representatives, Kevin McCarthy, said. Instead, the White House commented that a deal remains possible.

Meanwhile, the Dollar Index (DXY), an indicator of the evolution of the dollar against a basket of six currencies, loses 0.30% and stands at 103.017, which seems to be profit-taking by traders facing To the weekend.

However, rising US Treasury yields halted the XAU/USD rally. The US 10-year yield lost two and a half basis points to 3,673%.

Although XAU/USD is paring some of its weekly losses, it is on track to lose 1.90% on the week after strong US retail sales, industrial production and falling jobless claims account for new actions by the Fed.

XAU/USD Price Analysis: Technical Perspective

After three consecutive days of bearish candlesticks, XAU/USD is forming a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern and is about to recapture the 50-day EMA at $1,977.38. Given the background, XAU/USD could resume its uptrend, but RSI in bearish territory may curb XAU/USD gains.

XAU/USD must achieve a daily close above $1980 for a bullish resumption. Risks to the upside lie at the 20-day EMA at $1,999, followed by the May 16 high of $2,018.28. On the other hand, the first support for XAU/USD would be the May 18 low at $1,951.87, followed by the 100-day EMA at $1,931.