Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trims gains and comes back under pressure below $1,820

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  • Gold pulls back from two-day highs and approaches weekly lows again.
  • The US dollar rises across the board after Portugal’s comments.

gold prices fell sharply during the American session, erasing daily gains. The XAU/USD reached a high of $1,833, the highest level in two days, and then turned lower, falling to $1,814, slightly above the daily low of $1,811.

The pullback came amid a rally in the US dollar. DXY jumped towards 105.00, the highest level in a week. Rises for the second day in a row as market concerns remain.

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US yields edged lower on Wednesday even as central bankers sounded hawkish from Portugal, where the European Central Bank is holding its annual meeting. The president of the Fed, Powell, warned of the risk that the rise in interest rates poses for the economy; however, he made it clear that the biggest risk is losing price stability. ECB President Lagarde said she will consider the “anti-fragmentation” tool at the July meeting.

Short term outlook

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The bounce from $1,811 weakened before reaching $1,835, a short-term downtrend line. A break above the mentioned level should open the doors for more gains, targeting $1,845 initially and then levels above $1,850.

While below $1,835 the picture is tilted to the downside, with increasing risks of more losses below the 20 SMA on the 4 hour charts (currently $1,825).

XAU/USD is testing $1,815 and below that attention would turn to $1,811 (29 Jun low) and then $1,804 (14 Jun low), the last defense of $1,800.

Technical levels


Last Price Today 1816.13
Today’s Daily Change -3.87
Today’s Daily Change % -0.21
Today’s Daily Opening 1820
20 Daily SMA 1839.5
50 Daily SMA 1855.57
100 Daily SMA 1892.07
200 Daily SMA 1844.71
Previous Daily High 1829.51
Previous Daily Minimum 1818.47
Previous Maximum Weekly 1847.95
Previous Weekly Minimum 1816.99
Monthly Prior Maximum 1909.83
Previous Monthly Minimum 1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1822.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1825.29
Daily Pivot Point S1 1815.81
Daily Pivot Point S2 1811.62
Daily Pivot Point S3 1804.77
Daily Pivot Point R1 1826.85
Daily Pivot Point R2 1833.7
Daily Pivot Point R3 1837.89

Source: Fx Street

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