The share of the population that considers that the economy has worsened in the last year has reached the lowest level since September 2021, according to the Genial/Quaest survey published this Wednesday (17). For 52%, the economy has worsened in the last year. In November last year, when the series reached its lowest level, 73% considered that the economy had deteriorated in the last year.
The survey also showed that 23% believe that the economy has improved, the highest level in the series. For 24%, the economy is the same, and 2% did not know or did not respond.
Despite the drop, the issue continues to be identified as the main problem for voters, 40% of respondents. Social issues were cited by 21%; followed by health/pandemic, 13%; and corruption, 7%. Others add up to 15% and do not know or have not responded are 3%.
In addition, the topic is considered central to the presidential elections, given that, according to the survey, 53% say that the economy influences the vote for president – in July, this number was 59%.
Difficulty paying the bills
The number of respondents who had difficulties paying bills in the last three months also dropped. Those who say that capacity has worsened are 48%, the lowest since the beginning of the year and 5 percentage points lower than in Quaest’s previous survey of Aug. 3.
Those who say that this ability has improved are 25% and those who say it has remained the same are 26%. Those who do not know or have not responded are 1%.
The institute heard 2,000 people face to face between 11 and 14 August. The margin of error is two percentage points. The survey is 95% confident. That is, if 100 surveys were carried out, at least 95 would present the same results within this margin. The research was registered at the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under protocol BR-01167/2022.
In terms of voting intentions for the presidential election, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) has 45% of voting intentions in the first round, followed by President Jair Bolsonaro (PL), with 33%. The first round is scheduled for October 2.
Then appear Ciro Gomes (PDT), with 6%, and Simone Tebet (MDB), with 3%. Another six candidates included in the survey did not score: Felipe d’Avila (Novo), José Maria Eymael (DC), Leonardo Péricles (UP), Sofia Manzano (PCB), Soraya Thronicke (União Brasil) and Vera Lúcia (PSTU).
Those who say they will vote blank, cancel or fail to vote add up to 6%. The proportion of those who are undecided is also 6%.
In a second round between Lula and Bolsonaro, Lula has 51% against 38% for Bolsonaro. In this scenario, those who are undecided add up to 4% and those who say they vote white, null or do not vote, 7%.
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Photos – Candidates for President in 2022
Source: CNN Brasil