Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD could pull back to retest yearly low around $20.45

  • Silver continues this week’s pullback and is down for the second day in a row.
  • The setup favors the bears and supports the prospects for a further move lower.
  • A sustained move above the $22.00 level is needed to nullify the short-term negative bias.

The price of silver (XAG/USD) has seen some selling for the second day in a row on Thursday and has extended this week’s retracement from the 50% Fibonacci drop from $23.24 to $20.46. The white metal has remained under pressure during the first half of the European session and is now trading around the $21.60 zone, losing 0.20% on the day.

Overall, the previous day’s drop confirmed the breakout of the lower end of an uptrend channel, which constituted the formation of a bearish flag pattern. Further weakness below the 50-period SMA on the 4-hour chart reinforces the negative setup and supports prospects for further losses.

Furthermore, the technical indicators on the daily chart remain in negative territory and have regained bearish traction on the 4-hour chart. Therefore, a pullback to the 23.6% Fibonacci test around the $21.15 region is possible on the way to the $21.00 level.

The move lower could extend further and allow the bears to re-challenge the low of the last few years, around the $20.45 region touched last week.

On the other hand, the Fibonacci 38.2% near the $21.55 area should now act as immediate resistance. Any further move higher is likely to face resistance near the previous day’s high around the $21.75 region. This is followed by the 50% Fibonacci barrier just ahead of the $22.00 level, which if breached could trigger a short-covering rally.

Silver 4 hour chart

silver

silver key levels

XAG/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 21.59
Today’s Daily Change -0.04
Today’s Daily Change % -0.18
Today’s Daily Opening 21.63
Trends
20 Daily SMA 22.66
50 Daily SMA 24.17
100 Daily SMA 23.84
200 Daily SMA 23.61
levels
Previous Daily High 21.92
Previous Daily Minimum 21.51
Previous Maximum Weekly 22.37
Previous Weekly Minimum 20.46
Monthly Prior Maximum 26.22
Previous Monthly Minimum 22.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 21.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 21.67
Daily Pivot Point S1 21.46
Daily Pivot Point S2 21.28
Daily Pivot Point S3 21.05
Daily Pivot Point R1 21.86
Daily Pivot Point R2 22.09
Daily Pivot Point R3 22.27

Source: Fx Street

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