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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Break back above 144.50 as a break of 145.00 could spur another FX intervention

  • USD/JPY rebounds from the 143.00 area and is back above 144.50 after the Bank of Japan’s intervention in the forex market last week.
  • Following Japanese intervention in the forex space, USD/JPY rallied 3%.
  • In the short term, USD/JPY could retest the 145.00 area, despite growing concerns that the BOJ’s sand line opens the door for another FX market intervention,

The USD/JPY is making up some ground after last week’s Bank of Japan currency intervention, which pushed the Japanese yen from 145.00 price levels towards the 140.34 zone. However, USD/JPY traders are pushing back to the 145.00 price as USD/JPY is trading around 144.66, above its opening price at the time of writing.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

USD/JPY remains bullish after falling towards the 140.00 area. It should be noted that after the intervention of the BOJ in the markets, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell. However, at the time of writing, the RSI has crossed above its 7-day RSI SMA, which suggests that buyers are gathering momentum as the major reaches thresholds of 144.00.

In the short term, the 4-hour scale portrays USD/JPY strength, with the major clearing the R2 daily pivot at 144.52. Furthermore, after dipping into oversold conditions, the oscillators, primarily the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are back in positive territory.

If USD/JPY breaks above the 144.99 area, it could pave the way for further FX market intervention by the Japanese authorities. If it doesn’t, USD/JPY’s next resistance would be the 21st Sep daily high at 145.39, followed by the R3 daily pivot at 145.63.

On the other hand, failure at 145.00 could see the major pair slide towards the S1 daily pivot at 143.95. A break below will expose the confluence of the 20 and 50 EMAs around 143.34/36, followed by the daily pivot at 142.85.

Key USD/JPY Technical Levels


last price today 144.68
Today I change daily 1.37
Today’s daily variation in % 0.96
Daily opening today 143.31
daily SMA20 142.21
daily SMA50 138.14
daily SMA100 135.45
daily SMA200 127.21
Previous daily high 143.46
Previous Daily Low 141.76
Previous Weekly High 145.9
Previous Weekly Low 140.35
Previous Monthly High 139.08
Previous Monthly Low 130.4
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2% 142.81
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 142.41
Daily Pivot Point S1 142.23
Daily Pivot Point S2 141.15
Daily Pivot Point S3 140.53
Daily Pivot Point R1 143.93
Daily Pivot Point R2 144.54
Daily Pivot Point R3 145.62

Source: Fx Street

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