USD/MXN falls to four-day lows and tests the 18.80 area

  • The dollar falls against emerging market currencies at the start of the week.
  • USD/MXN pulls away from recent peak, tests 18.80.

The USD/MXN is falling for the second day in a row and continues to decline after the strong rebound of previous days. The pair operates around 18.80, supported by the weakness of the dollar, the rebound in commodities and the rise in Wall Street.

Last week the USD/MXN rose after making an upward correction from its lowest in years. It went from 18.56 to rise to 19.09. The price could not be affirmed above 19.00 and is currently moving with a bearish bias, in line with the dominant trend.

The decline is being guided by the weakness of the dollar in the market, given the expectation of a Federal Reserve smoother (it would rise by only 25 basis points in February) and the rise in the stock markets. There will be no presentations from Fed officials this week, as they are in the quiet period ahead of the January 31-February 1 meeting. Important data will be released this week in the US including the underlying personal consumption spending index.

In Mexico key information will also come out with the inflation figures for the mid-January month on Tuesday, with the expectation of a drop from 7.83% to 7.75%; and that the underlying one rises marginally. Banxico’s next meeting will be on February 9, which would include a new interest rate hike.

technical levels

USD/MXN

Panorama
Last Price Today 18.8241
Today’s Daily Change -0.0557
Today’s Daily Change % -0.30
Today’s Daily Open 18.8798
Trends
20 Daily SMA 19.1472
SMA of 50 Daily 19.3706
SMA of 100 Daily 19.6536
SMA of 200 Daily 19.9106
levels
Previous Daily High 19.0213
Minimum Previous Daily 18.8476
Previous Weekly High 19.11
Previous Weekly Minimum 18.5663
Maximum Prior Monthly 19.9181
Minimum Prior Monthly 19.1084
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 18,914
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 18.9549
Daily Pivot Point S1 18.8112
Daily Pivot Point S2 18.7425
Daily Pivot Point S3 18.6375
Daily Pivot Point R1 18.9849
Daily Pivot Point R2 19.0899
Daily Pivot Point R3 19.1586

Source: Fx Street

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