WTI falls on US bank fears amid USD weakness

  • The Western Texas Intermediate falls almost 3% due to the possible risks of a financial crisis in the US.
  • The weakness of the US dollar slowed down the price of WTI.
  • WTI Price Analysis: May test March lows around $72.30.

The Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), The reference to US Crude Oil fell more than 2% due to risk appetite, since the banking crisis in the United States raises fears of a possible contagion. However, the recovery of Chinese demand halted the fall of WTI. At the time of writing these lines, WTI is trading at $74.54, having reached a high of $77.42.

US assets lost value last week on concerns about the impact of the Silicon Valley Bank failure, and regulators closed another bank in New York on Sunday.

US stocks were mostly higher on Monday, but volatile as investors wondered if the Fed would stop raising interest rates in March. The government took urgent measures on Sunday to boost confidence in banks. [.N]

The sudden shutdown of SVB Financial raised questions about how the Fed’s rapid rate hikes last year affected other banks. It also made investors think that the central bank might slow down its monetary policy.

Oil prices fluctuated on Monday as investors weighed how the news would affect the market. The price of WTI tends to rise with a weaker dollar because oil is more affordable for those who use other currencies.

High US oil reserves have also put pressure on crude prices, indicating weak demand.

Oil’s decline followed a positive day on Friday, when US jobs data came in better than expected. The number of jobs added in February was 311,000, well above the 205,000 forecast by market participants.

WTI Technical Analysis

As sentiment soured, benchmark US crude oil fell towards its daily low of $72.36. Buyers stepped in and dragged prices higher, but failed to recapture the 20-day EMA at $77.01. The WTI trend remains bearish, and it could touch the March lows again, but would need to break support areas. The first support would be $74.00. A break below would reveal the February 22 low of $73.83, followed by $73.00, and then year-over-year lows.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Last price today 74.69
Today Change Daily -1.94
today’s daily variation -2.53
today’s daily opening 76.63
Trends
daily SMA20 77.38
daily SMA50 77.83
daily SMA100 79.43
daily SMA200 86.8
levels
previous daily high 77.18
previous daily low 74.89
Previous Weekly High 80.99
previous weekly low 74.89
Previous Monthly High 80.75
Previous monthly minimum 72.5
Fibonacci daily 38.2 76.31
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 75.77
Daily Pivot Point S1 75.29
Daily Pivot Point S2 73.94
Daily Pivot Point S3 73
Daily Pivot Point R1 77.58
Daily Pivot Point R2 78.53
Daily Pivot Point R3 79.87

Source: Fx Street

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