GBP/USD rises strongly and goes above 1.2380 again, awaiting the US GDP.

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  • GBP/USD bounces from its weekly lows and recovers to the 1.2300 level on the weakness of the US dollar.
  • The UK Producer Price Index cools off, sparking speculation that the Bank of England may tighten monetary policy, albeit not as aggressively as anticipated.
  • The US economic calendar for Thursday will include GDP, jobless claims, durable goods orders and core PCE.

The GBP/USD It rises solidly and pared two days of consecutive losses after hitting a weekly low of 1.2263 on Wednesday. Risk aversion is the name of the game as the US dollar (USD) is paring some of its previous losses, propped up by rising US bond yields. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2384, holding on to gains of 0.42%.

UK Producer Price Index eases ahead of next week’s Bank of England meeting

During the European session, GBP/USD fell to daily lows at 1.2282 amid news that the UK Producer Price Index (PPI) for December had cooled the most since April 2020, which would ease pressures for the Bank of England (BoE). Input prices paid by factories fell -1.1% month-on-month, while year-on-year data fell 1.5% to 16.5% from 18%. Producer prices fell -0.8%m/m, below estimates for a 0.1% rise, while year-on-year they fell to 14.7% from 16.2%.

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Therefore, speculation that the Bank of England would reassess the degree of tightening needed to curb inflation weakened GBP/USD. In addition, the weaker-than-expected UK PMIs for December, released on Tuesday, sparked recession fears.

Meanwhile, the dollar has continued to weaken on the G8 currency board, as shown by the Dollar Index, which fell 0.15% to hold at 101.767. By contrast, US Treasury yields trim previous losses and stand at 3,465%.

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Apart from this, traders are preparing for a busy round of US economic data to be released on Thursday. The advance of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter will be published on the US economic agenda, which is expected to stand at 2.6%. In addition, Durable Goods Orders are expected to recover to 2.5%, compared to the -2.1% drop last month.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels


Last price today 1.2382
Today I change daily 0.0047
today’s daily variation 0.38
today’s daily opening 1.2335
daily SMA20 1.2174
daily SMA50 1.2132
daily SMA100 1.1741
daily SMA200 1.1972
previous daily high 1.2414
previous daily low 1.2263
Previous Weekly High 1.2436
previous weekly low 1.2169
Previous Monthly High 1.2447
Previous monthly minimum 1.1992
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1.2321
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2356
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2261
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2187
Daily Pivot Point S3 1,211
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2412
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2488
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2562

Source: Fx Street

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