Market raises forecast for inflation, Selic and exchange rate after PEC do Explosion

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After discussions about the PEC of the Explosion and speeches by the president-elect Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), who questioned fiscal rules, the market worsened the projections for the main economic indicators. The scenario of uncertainty reflects both in the projections for the dollar and for inflation and the Selic rate.

For the first time after 16 weeks unchanged, the forecast for the dollar rose to BRL 5.25 at the end of 2022, against BRL 5.20 the previous week. For 2023, the forecast for the exchange rate was BRL 5.24 at the end of 2023, against BRL 5.20 the previous week.

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See the highlights:

IPCA rise of 5.88% in 2022, compared to 5.82% in the previous week
IPCA rise of 5.01% in 2023, compared to 4.94% in the previous week
Selic at 13.75% at the end of 2022, compared to 13.75% in the previous week
Selic at 11.50% at the end of 2023, compared to 11.25% in the previous week
GDP growth in 2022 of 2.80%, compared to 2.77% in the previous week
GDP growth in 2023 of 0.70%, compared to 0.70% in the previous week
Exchange rate of BRL 5.25 at the end of 2022, against BRL 5.20 in the previous week
Exchange rate of BRL 5.24 at the end of 2023, against BRL 5.20 in the previous week
IPCA at 5.26% over the next 12 months, compared to 5.15% a week before

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*Posted by Ligia Tuon

Source: CNN Brasil

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