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Don’t rush to celebrate inflation – It’s still unpredictable

By Jonathan Levin US inflation has finally surprised markets in a positive way and traders are understandably excited that the worst of the upward price pressures may finally be behind us. However, the real turn to...

Let’s not mince our words: the global recession is coming…

By Daniel Moss Ben Bernanke has never been a big fan of "labels." In 2008, the then chairman of the Federal Reserve urged Congress not to get "stuck" in trying to define a recession. What...

You won’t like what comes after inflation…

By Eduardo Porter After curbing inflation, then what? We've lost sight of that particular question over the last year, caught up in the "drama" of a price spiral unseen in most of our lifetimes. But whether the...

The global economy is on the brink of recession, warns the IMF

The International Monetary Fund revised downwards its forecast for global growth again today, warning that downside risks from high inflation and the war in Ukraine could push the global economy to the brink of recession if...

Nomura: Major economies in recession for the next 12 months

Most of the world's major economies will enter recession in the next twelve months, Nomura estimates, as tightening monetary policy and rising living costs push the global economy into a synchronized growth slowdown. In particular, the Japanese...

IMF: Raises global economic growth bar to 3.6% over Ukraine

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its forecasts for global economic growth by almost one percentage point due to Russia's war in Ukraine, warning that inflation is now a "clear and present threat" to many...