USD/MXN bounces above 18.40 from fresh multi-year lows

  • The Mexican peso loses momentum against the dollar after hitting multi-year highs.
  • Dollar gains momentum as Wall Street pares gains.
  • Inflation decreases modestly in Mexico, Banxico’s Minutes point to a lower rate hike.

The pair USD/MXN reaches daily highs at 18.42, with a daily advance. It previously bottomed at 18.30, the lowest level since April 2018. The rebound took place amid a stronger US dollar across the board and a bearish reversal in US stock markets.

The dollar strengthened following US economic data that included a fresh revision to fourth-quarter GDP, a decline in jobless claims and a rebound in the Chicago activity index.

USD/MXN is bouncing after testing levels below 18.30. The mentioned level is critical and a consolidation below it would point to further weakness. If the current correction extends, it would face resistance at the 18.50 area. A recovery above would add support for an extension towards 18.68.

Inflation slows down slowly in Mexico, Banxico down

Banco de México published the minutes of its last meeting of the Board of Directors held on February 9. They surprised the market with a 50 basis point rate hike, versus expectations for a 25 basis point hike. The minutes showed that council members considered rate hikes could be more moderate at the next meeting, scheduled for March 30.

The end of the rate hike cycle seems close, but inflation is still far from the 3% target set by Banxico. Data released Thursday showed that inflation slowed more than expected during the first half of February. The annual rate fell from 7.94% to 7.76%, while the underlying index reached 8.38%.

USD/MXN daily chart

USDMXN

USD/MXN

Overview
Last price today 18,371
daily change today -0.0035
today’s daily variation -0.02
today’s daily opening 18.3745
Trends
daily SMA20 18.6809
daily SMA50 19.0134
daily SMA100 19.3411
daily SMA200 19.7368
levels
previous daily high 18.4804
previous daily low 18.3209
Previous Weekly High 18,754
previous weekly low 18.3306
Previous Monthly High 19.5361
Previous monthly minimum 18.5663
Fibonacci daily 38.2 18.3819
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 18.4195
Daily Pivot Point S1 18.3035
Daily Pivot Point S2 18.2325
Daily Pivot Point S3 18,144
Daily Pivot Point R1 18,463
Daily Pivot Point R2 18.5515
Daily Pivot Point R3 18.6225

Source: Fx Street

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