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USD/MXN stops its three-day losing streak and advances to near 16.60

  • USD/MXN gains ground on risk aversion ahead of US GDP data
  • Mexico's unemployment rate stood at 2.5% in February, compared to the expected 2.8%.
  • Higher US Treasury yields contribute to US Dollar support.

The pair USD/MXN It stopped its three-day losing streak, advancing to around 16.60 during the European session on Thursday. However, the Mexican Peso (MXN) received support from the decline in Mexico's unemployment rate and consequently weighed on the USD/MXN and limited the pair's rise.

The unemployment rate in Mexico decreased to 2.5% from 2.7%, improving market forecasts of 2.8%. The number of unemployed decreased by 137,000 people, to 1.5 million, while the number of employed people increased by 1.1 million, to 59.4 million.

This situation allows the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) to continue applying strict debt conditions as a means of addressing persistent inflationary pressures. Inflation has consistently exceeded expectations, as seen in both headline and core measures during the mid-March assessment.

Traders take a cautious stance ahead of the release of annualized Gross Domestic Product and initial US jobless claims. scheduled for Thursday, while the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index will be released on Friday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has risen to near 104.60, supported by rising US coupon bond yields, with the 2-year and 10-year yields standing at 4.62% and 4.21%, respectively , at the time of writing these lines. However, conflicting views among members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on easing monetary policy are contributing to market uncertainty.

The Governor of the Federal Reserve, Christopher Waller continues to advocate for a cautious approach to rate cuts, citing persistent inflation data. The president of the Atlanta Fed, Raphael Bostic shares this sentiment, anticipating only one rate cut this year and warning against premature cuts that could exacerbate economic disruptions.

USD/MXN technical levels

Overview
Latest price today 16,572
Today's daily change 0.0304
Today's daily variation 0.18
Today daily opening 16.5416
Trends
daily SMA20 16.7952
50 daily SMA 16.9924
SMA100 daily 17.0823
SMA200 Journal 17.2054
Levels
Previous daily high 16.6832
Previous daily low 16.5116
Previous weekly high 16.9472
Previous weekly low 16.6683
Previous Monthly High 17.2852
Previous monthly low 16.9953
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 16.5771
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 16.6176
Daily Pivot Point S1 16.4744
Daily Pivot Point S2 16.4072
Daily Pivot Point S3 16.3028
Daily Pivot Point R1 16,646
Daily Pivot Point R2 16.7504
Daily Pivot Point R3 16.8176

Source: Fx Street

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