USD/NOK rises on strong jobless claims and firm US inflation expectations.

  • USD/NOK rebounds 0.75% and approaches the 10,750 level.
  • The US Dollar advances on strong jobless claims data and firm inflation expectations revealed by the UoM.

In the Wednesday session, USD/NOK enjoyed an upward recovery, cruising close to the 10,750 level. The upward moves were fueled by strong US jobless claims numbers and higher inflation expectations from the University of Michigan (UM), which spooked investors.

In line with this, according to the University of Michigan, inflation expectations stood at 3.2% for five years, and despite showing no surprises, it continues to suggest that they remain sticky above the Fed’s 2% target. Others Data showed that the US Department of Labor reported that in the week ending November 18, initial claims for jobless benefits totaled 209,000, marking the lowest reading in five weeks.

In reaction, expectations of sticky inflation and a robust labor market reminded investors that the Federal Reserve (Fed) left the door open to further tightening if necessary. For now, CME’s FedWatch tool indicates that markets are still pricing in a pause at the next Fed meeting in December, and the question is how long the Fed will keep rates at restrictive levels.

The next milestone of the week will be S&P’s preliminary US November PMIs, which will be reported on Friday.

USD/NOK levels to watch

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in negative territory, with a positive slope suggesting increased buying momentum. However, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows decreasing red bars, indicative that the selling pressure is gradually relaxing but still present.

Considering the positioning of the pair with respect to the simple moving averages (SMAs), the picture becomes clearer. It currently maintains a position below the 20-day SMA, which implies immediate selling pressure, inhibiting further upside movement in the short term. However, the pair’s position above the 100-day and 200-day SMAs consolidates the long-term bullish influence.

Support Levels: 10,677 (100-day SMA), 10,655 (200-day SMA), 10,600.
Resistance Levels: 10,810, 10,830, 10,900.

USD/NOK daily chart

USD/NOK

Overview
Latest price today 10.7583
Today I change daily 0.0757
Today’s daily variation 0.71
Today’s daily opening 10.6826
Trends
daily SMA20 11.0495
daily SMA50 10.9444
SMA100 daily 10,677
SMA200 daily 10.6527
Levels
Previous daily high 10.7131
Previous daily low 10.6324
Previous weekly high 11,162
Previous weekly low 10.7741
Previous Monthly High 11,277
Previous monthly low 10.6561
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 10.6632
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 10.6823
Daily Pivot Point S1 10,639
Daily Pivot Point S2 10.5953
Daily Pivot Point S3 10.5582
Daily Pivot Point R1 10.7197
Daily Pivot Point R2 10.7568
Daily Pivot Point R3 10.8004

Source: Fx Street

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